Commodores meet Razorbacks in SEC showdown

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

01/31/2012 - Fayetteville, AR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 25th-ranked Vanderbilt Commodores hope to continue their rise in the SEC Standings when they travel to Fayetteville to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks.

Vanderbilt has won 10 of its last 11 games and is tied with Florida for second place in the conference standings. The Commodores continued their impressive run on Saturday by defeating 20-win Middle Tennessee, 84-77.

Arkansas has enjoyed a successful season as well and is winners of 10 of its last 13. The Razorbacks are coming off a loss to Alabama though, 72-66, on Saturday, marking their fifth road defeat in five tries.

This bout represents the 26th all-time meeting between these two teams, with Arkansas holding a 16-9 lead. The Commodores had won two straight in the series before the Razorbacks won on January 29, 2011, by a final of 89-78 in Nashville.

Vanderbilt ranks just below national powerhouses Florida and Kentucky in the SEC scoring rankings, netting 74.7 ppg. The Commodores hot shooting continued against Middle Tennessee, as they drained 50 percent of their field goal attempts in the win. John Jenkins continued his solid season, making good on 10-of-18 field goal attempts for 26 points. The junior leads the SEC in scoring with 20 ppg, and he leads the nation in three-pointers made with 78. Festus Ezeli had a season-high 21 points, up from his average of just 8.5 ppg. Jeffery Taylor is a competent scorer in his own right, ranking second in the conference with 17.3 ppg and fourth in field goal percentage at .536. Lance Goulbourne falls just short of the double-digit scorers' club with 9.9 ppg and he grabs a team-leading 7.2 rpg as well. Though its offense has been able to mask its deficiencies of late, Vandy's defense can be a liability, ranking ninth in the conference and the squad gave up 57.4 percent shooting to Middle Tennessee on Saturday.

Arkansas has a similar makeup to Vanderbilt, averaging just a half point less per game on offense (74.2) but the Hogs possess an even worse defense, ranking last in the SEC (66.1 ppg). A poor defensive effort proved to be the difference in a close game with Alabama over the weekend, as the Crimson Tide shot 50 percent from the field and they also went to the foul line 25 times. Rickey Scott had one of his best games in the loss for the Razorbacks, logging 18 points, five rebounds and four assists. Scott (10.1 ppg) is one of three Hogs that average double figures in points, joining B.J. Young (14.4 ppg) and Mardracus Wade (10.8 ppg). Young and Wade have both proved to be threats from beyond the arc, making at least 1.5 three-pointers per game apiece with Wade ranking first in long-range efficiency at 47.7 percent. Arkansas is a poor rebounding team, ranking next-to-last in the SEC in rebounding margin (minus-2.5) and the team is without a player averaging five rebounds per game.

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Pacific-10 Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Stanford

Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.

Should be in:

Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.

Southeastern Conference odds
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State

It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.

Work left to do:

Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.

Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.

Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.

Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile.

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